Trends in the electric vehicle industry – Global EV Outlook 2024 – Analysis - IEA (2024)

Venture capital investments in electric vehicle start-ups dropped in 2023, following the global trend

Venture capital (VC) funding to EV start-ups has boomed in the past decade. Financial investors such as banks and VC or private equity funds see in EV start-ups a potential for significant future returns. Many companies – including major incumbent carmakers – also use corporate VC to fund start-ups to develop new technology, or to acquire concepts developed by new entrants. Whereas in the past century, most carmakers typically developed ICE technology and manufacturing through in-house R&D, investing in start-ups has now become a notable trend. This allows incumbents to bolster their own position and maintain a competitive edge in quickly evolving markets and regulatory environments.

In 2023, however, global VC investments in clean energy start-ups fell considerably relative to 2022, and EVs and batteries were no exception. Early-stage investments (i.e. seed and series A, referring to the first rounds of financing and the earlier stages of development) in start-ups developing EV and battery technologies dropped 20% to USD1.4billion in 2023. Meanwhile, growth-stage investments (i.e. series B and growth equity, which refer to the later rounds of financing as start-ups increase activity) dropped 35% to USD10.1billion.

Several important factors are contributing to this downward trend. As competition intensifies in EV and battery markets, and as incumbents ramp up their own investments and manufacturing plans, barriers to entry for new actors get higher, and so do investor perceptions of risk. The front-running start-ups that raised funds over the 2015-2020 period are now maturing and transitioning to other sources of capital, leaving fewer alternatives for newcomers – early-stage VC for electric carmakers dropped radically in 2023. Geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, high energy prices, and rising inflation and interest rates limit the availability of higher-risk capital. We also observe a cooldown following the post-Covid-19 boom of 2021-2022, which was fuelled by investment restraint during the pandemic and the expectation of significant economic recovery packages afterwards.

Despite the drop, investments remain far greater than in 2019, prior to the Covid-19 pandemic. Start-ups developing EV charging technology attracted over USD400million in early-stage VC, and battery and battery component makers USD260million, together accounting for half of early-stage VC. There was also a surge for two- and three-wheeler start-ups, which raised USD200million in early-stage VC in 2023, up from below USD100million in previous years. While early-stage funding for electric carmakers has dried up, and in 2023 fell far short of the 2018-2022 rounds, investors continue to show interest in upstream and downstream segments of EV supply chains, as well as other EV types, especially if these can scale quickly.

Notable deals in 2023 included Germany-based Jolt Energy’s first round of VC funding, which raised USD160million. The company seeks to bring its fast-charging technology to urban areas of Europe and the UnitedStates, and claims to provide 100km of driving range in just 5 minutes. Similarly, German EV charging start-up Numbat raised USD75million in series A funding through the European Infrastructure Fund, as well as another USD75million in loans. Indian start-up Charge Zone also raised nearly USD55million to develop nearly 300 charging stations.

Chinese electric truck maker DeepWay raised USD110million in series A funding to start mass production, after having raised USD70million in 2022 to fund R&D and early-stage manufacturing. In the 2/3W space, Benin-based start-up Spiro raised USD60million, Indonesian Maka Motors raised over USD37million and Volta Indonesia USD35million, Brazilian Vammo raised USD30million, and Indian Simple Energy India raised USD20million, illustrating the importance of this segment in EMDEs. In India, Evera, a provider of all-electric cab services and management, raised USD7million to expand operations in Delhi, and Zyngo, an operator of electric last-mile delivery fleets, raised USD5million.

At the growth stage, battery technology developers attracted USD5billion, and electric carmakers USD2.5billion, with significant support from public investors, indicating interest from governments to help new entrants ramp up manufacturing capacity or accelerate expansion and deployment. However, growth-stage investor appetite for electric trucks and EV charging dried up relative to previous years.

Notable deals include French battery maker Verkor, which raised USD900million in growth equity from investors including public-private EIT InnoEnergy and BPI France, and major incumbent carmaker Renault. The company also received a nearly USD700million grant from the French Government and another USD650million in debt from the European Investment Bank to develop a 16GWh gigafactory project in Dunkirk. To support its global expansion, Swedish battery maker Northvolt raised USD400million from Ontario’s asset manager, USD1.2billion and then another USD150million in debt from public Canadian investors and private banks, a USD740million grant from the German Government, and a USD5billion loan from the European Investment Bank and Nordic Investment Bank. Chinese lithium-ion battery maker Hithium also raised over USD600million.

Chinese electric carmakers continued raising money in 2023, such as Hozon and Rox Motor, which each raised around USD1billion. Like other Chinese new entrants, Hozon Automobile is looking to expand in overseas markets as well as domestically, and could go public in Hong Kong. Rox Motor launched its first model in 2023, an electric SUV priced under USD50000. Premium electric carmaker Avatr raised USD400million, after having raised a similar amount in series A funding in 2022.

In the electric taxi fleet space, India-based BluSmart, a start-up providing ride-hailing services, raised two rounds of USD42million and USD24million in growth equity in 2023, and another USD25million in 2024. However, there has been fierce competition with larger taxi fleet apps and operators in the past few years in EMDEs. In 2023, for example, electric ride-sharing app Beat, owned by Free Now, withdrew from Latin America.

Trends in the electric vehicle industry – Global EV Outlook 2024 – Analysis - IEA (2024)

FAQs

Trends in the electric vehicle industry – Global EV Outlook 2024 – Analysis - IEA? ›

In 2024, electric car sales in the United States are projected to rise by 20% compared to the previous year, translating to almost half a million more sales, relative to 2023. Despite reporting of a rocky end to 2023 for electric cars in the United States, sales shares are projected to remain robust in 2024.

What is the IEA forecast for electric vehicles? ›

We currently expect to see around 17 million in sales by the end of 2024, representing a more than 20% year-on-year increase with new purchases accelerating in the second half of this year. As a result, electric cars could account for over one in five cars sold across the full calendar year.

What is the global battery outlook for IEA? ›

The growth in EV sales is pushing up demand for batteries, continuing the upward trend of recent years. Demand for EV batteries reached more than 750 GWh in 2023, up 40% relative to 2022, though the annual growth rate slowed slightly compared to in 2021‑2022.

What is the global trend of electric cars? ›

Surging demand for clean, cheap EVs across the rest of this decade will completely change the global auto industry. By 2035, IEA projects 50% of all cars sold globally will be EVs, cutting oil demand between 6-10 million barrels per day, equivalent to the current amount used for road transportation in the U.S.

What is the EV share in China in 2024? ›

The share of electric cars in total sales in China has never been as high as in May 2024. Four out of ten passenger cars from China had a plug. With around 955,000 new electric cars and plug-in hybrids, manufacturers are approaching the one million mark in absolute terms.

What is the EV market outlook for 2024? ›

In 2024, electric car sales in the United States are projected to rise by 20% compared to the previous year, translating to almost half a million more sales, relative to 2023. Despite reporting of a rocky end to 2023 for electric cars in the United States, sales shares are projected to remain robust in 2024.

What is global EV Outlook? ›

The Global EV Outlook is an annual publication that identifies and assesses recent developments in electric mobility across the globe.

What are the car trends in 2024? ›

Key Automotive Trends in Q1 2024

The shift from a seller's market to a buyer's market is here, spurring adaptability in dealership processes and strategies. Products per deal increase while consumer affordability concerns remain. Leasing gains momentum due to attractive OEM offers and government EV tax credits.

What is the EV market trends and outlook? ›

EV Volumes currently forecasts that the plug-in share of light-vehicle sales will reach 12.7% in 2024, then 16.5% in 2025 and 35% in 2029. BEVs are expected to account for 81% of the EV market this year, rising to 85% in 2025 and 93% in 2029.

What is the trend in EV in the US? ›

Electric car sales have taken off in the U.S. since 2020. About 1.6 million EVs were sold in the U.S. in 2023 — a 60% increase from the 1 million sold nationwide in 2022. The U.S. accounted for 9.7% of all new EV registrations worldwide in 2022.

Who is Tesla's competitor in China? ›

BYD — or Build Your Dreams — is probably Tesla's best-known competitor in China.

What is the fastest growing EV company in China? ›

NIO is one of the fastest growing EV brands in China. They offer some really good looking cars and also they are offering BaaS. Battery replacement as a service, so you will never worry about charging your EV battery!

Is China the leader in EV? ›

China is the world's biggest producer of electric vehicles (EVs) – and it's growing. In 2022, the country accounted for 59% of global EV sales, according to data from the EV Volumes database, with sales of new EVs increasing by 82% from the previous year to reach more than 6 million.

What is the forecast for the electric vehicle market? ›

Below is our latest long-term forecast for new electric vehicle (BEV and PHEV) sales in the US through 2030. EV sales should grow to reach approximately 29.5% of all new car sales in 2030 from an expect roughly 3.4% in 2021. This would also see sales increase to 4.7 million from a little more than 500,000 in 2021.

What is the future prediction for electric cars? ›

Electric vehicles could make up as much as nearly half of global car sales by 2035, and our analysts forecast that more advanced autonomous or partially autonomous vehicles will make up the same share of sales just five years later. It's a fundamental shift, upending labor markets, supply chains, and commodity markets.

What is the electric vehicle forecast for 2030? ›

The global electric car stock expands to almost 350 million vehicles by 2030, but future growth will hinge on efforts to diversify battery manufacturing and critical mineral supplies to reduce the risks of supply bottlenecks and higher prices.

What is the forecast EV range? ›

Future electric cars could go more than 600 miles on a single charge thanks to battery-boosting gel. By using gel, researchers have found a way to incorporate silicon into batteries while negating its destructive tendency to expand — meaning future EVs could use the technology to go much further on a single charge.

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